Well, we are now four games into the season, and Grier was right and I was wrong. Torrey Mitchell was a bold call to make the club, and he has. He’s played well in all four games so far this season, and the list of players behind him on the depth chart is growing. I’d have to say that Rissmiller, Brown, and JR are definitely behind him now. He was helped a bit by Setoguchi’s injury, but congratulations are in order.
I just hope that Mitchell’s youth and enthusiasm will help to keep him skating hard and trying hard. It’s a looooong season. A letdown of some sort is inevitable. But the difference between good players and great players is the ability to bounce back from a bad game or stretch.
Unbeknownst to me, the idea of Oz making the opening day roster was a loser from the start. Apparently the substance abuse program denied him the ability to play until last night. And he didn’t. He’s still not signed, which means he’s not taking up a roster spot, leaving a chance of making the club. The only thing Davison and Murray are contributing right now is the willingness to drop the gloves.
To Grier’s and my relief, the Sharks managed to put forth a decent effort to get a win against Chicago last night. Remember, I picked Oprahtown to finish third in the Central, and they beat Detroit last Saturday at home. They are not the hapless Hawks that we’ve seen the past few years. Toews had his first goal in his first game on his first shot (as Randy Hahn was fond of saying last night during the telecast). Kane is playing well, and they have good young D in Keith and Seabrook. The Sharks didn’t convert on many scoring changes they should have, but they converted on a late power play. Michalek managed to chip one in past the Bulin Wall, who has a few cracks in his once-pristine facade.
Can’t wait for the home game on Saturday. The house will be rocking, and I will be enjoying free food courtesy of my winning bet with Grier. Come by section 124 if you’re in the neighborhood. Just scream out “McLovin” at the top of your lungs, we’ll find you.
Everyone needs to relax. Take a deep breath and calm down. Yes, the Sharks did lay a giant turd last night in Colorado. Yes, it was troubling to see them get outworked and not use their superior size, familiar criticism that plagued this team last year, but don’t we all have bad days? Haven’t you ever spilled coffee on your crotch, got a speeding ticket and stepped in shit while failing to clear the puck on a 5 on 3 power play. This was the Sharks day yesterday. You bounce back…and they will.
Here is the key – how will the Sharks respond in Chicago? I predict they will come out with a chip on their shoulder and a spring in their step. This team is eager to prove they are not the same club that folded last year in the face of adversity. When the Sharks win on Wednesday, they are coming home with five points on a difficult four game season opening road trip. A 2-1-1 record.
So, let’s calm down everyone and wait for Chicago. The boys will respond. The top line might get broken up. Setoguchi might see his first action of the season. Patzold may even get the call in the pipes, but a win is coming.
After the gigantic steaming turd the Sharks laid last night in Colorado, I needed something to cheer me up. Winning my hockey game last night was helpful, but not nearly on the same scale as this.
24/7 hockey on TV? I think I need to change my shorts.
So mclaren’s right hip put a comment in the last post about how bad the Sharks are in the shootout. And as I am wont to do in situations like this, I get curious about the numbers. I’m a math guy. Sorry. If you hate numbers, click here and go take a nap. Try to wake up in the real world.
Still here? Ready for some Sharks shootout facts?
Sharks are 3-9 since the shootout was started in the 06-07 season (a lovely 1-7 in the first year). That’s the worst in the NHL both in terms of percentage and in terms of wins.
The Sharks have also had the fewest shootout opportunities of any team in the NHL.
Nabokov is 2-5 lifetime in the shootout. That’s among the worst of goalies with 5 decisions or more. Other horrible shootout goalies include Ray Emery (1-6), Mikka Kiprusoff (4-11), Jussi Markkanen (1-4), Andrew Raycroft (3-7), and Cam Ward (1-4).
Vesa Toskala was 0-4 in the shootout with the Sharks.
Patrick Marleau is 0-6 in the shootout.
Joe Thornton is 1-6, 0-1 with the Sharks.
Joe Pavelski has the most shootout goals by a Shark with 4 (on 4 attempts, including last night). Other Sharks with multiple shootout goals- Cheech with 3, Clowe with 2, Marco Sturm with 2, and Nils Ekman (remember him?) with 2.
The best in the NHL is Jussi Jokinen, who is 15 for 25. In terms of percentage, Paul Kariya and Slava Kozloz are slightly better, shooting 12 for 18 (66.7%).
So other than the goal-scoring and the goal-saving, the Sharks are money in the shootout.
If I were to put together a shootout lineup, I would go Pavelski, Clowe, Cheech, with Michalek or Bernier on deck. Bernier scored in the Teal and White game, remember? Against Taylor Dakers, but that’s beside the point.
I didn’t finish watching the game until 1am, so my impressions may be as worthless as tits on a hog. I never understood that expression, which makes it all the more appropriate.
D-Gate! We need some pressure defense. I think there were a couple of Edmonton power plays where the Sharks literally did not touch the puck. We’d just let ’em skate around the outside, cycle for a while, then they’d give to Souray and he’d blast a shot at about a thousand miles per hour. It’d ricochet around at a couple of hundred miles per hour, and eventually get kicked to the point or a corner again, where they’d repeat. I guess it was effective, since Edmonton didn’t score a power play goal, but the Sharks are playing with fire if it continues.
Torrey Mitchell looked awesome. A post, and a couple of good scoring chances. The question that will be answered soon enough is ‘can he put out that kind of effort every night, even on a Wednesday night away game in Columbus’?
Bummer about Setoguchi’s ankle– he really should have made his debut last night, he earned it.
If Joe keeps shooting like he did last night, he’ll both open up more passing lanes and score 35 goals. He was like a Shark with a friggin laser beam on his head with that goal (see what I did there?)
The Sharks are worthless in the shootout. WORTHLESS.
And I want to apologize to Scott Thornton for my crack (and the Kings, although that part hurts a little). After this epic beatdown of George Parros, I’ll never doubt again:
The first two games of the season didn’t really count. They were in a country that cares almost nothing for hockey (kinda like the U.S.). With two teams where I didn’t want either of them to win. And the games were at 3 in the morning or something, playing on TV directly against top college football games. Way to make a splash, NHL.
But last night was better, scheduled against playoff baseball. Whoops. Since baseball is only slightly less interesting than a paint-drying seminar, it was easy enough to click past that crap, and enjoy my first day of Center Ice, bought and paid for. Toronto and Ottawa. I got home from work so late I only saw the third, but it was tight hockey, a close game, and Dany Heatley, fresh from signing his new 6-year extension that will pay him about $8m per, scored late in the third to tie, and in overtime to win the game. Great way to start the season. And the other 27 people watching all across America were as thrilled as I was.
And by the way? Starting Raycroft? Horrible decision. They showed a “plays of the game” type graphic late in the third with the score tied 3-3 that Raycroft had “made 24 saves”. That’s a .888 save percentage. Last year, that would have been good enough for 41st in the NHL, behind Brent Johnson, but ahead of Alex Auld. Attention Leafs: start Toskala, and let him win you some games.
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My bold prediction comes true. Wilson says today in the San Jose Mercury News that Mitchell will be in the opening night line up, along with fellow rookie Setoguchi.
No real clues as to how the other lines are going to shake down after Thornton-Marleau-Cheechoo. Whose spot did Mitchell take in the line up? I can only guess it is Curtis Brown.
One more cut to go and its gotta be Semenov, right? Unless this deal for Halak is real and Wilson is formulating a deal with some of our spare parts. I am not sold on Patzold as the back up. If Nabby goes down, the Sharks season could go in the tank – literally.
Could Goc be the bait? It appears he has been passed up on the depth chart by Pavelski.
Here is how I see the season shaping up – division by divison.
ATLANTIC 1) Pittsburgh Penguins – I like what this team has done in the offseason. Surrounding Crosby and Malkin with the necessary veteran talent while keeping their core intact. Staal can only improve on his effort last year. They are going to be fun to watch for several years.
2) Philadelphia Flyers – I think this team added the vital pieces needed to revive a dormant franchise. Mixed with some of their already good young talent, the Flyers should have a resurgence this season. Unlike Mike, I think Biron could surprise.
3) New York Rangers – I’m not buying it. I think the Rangers made some big mistakes adding too many big dogs and alienating their role players. Will Drury, Gomez, Avery, Shanny and Jagr play nice together? I think this dressing room could implode and Jagr might be skating for a different team in March.
4) New Jersey Devils – They won’t suck. With Brodeur in net, they have a chance to win every night, but letting Gomez and Rafalski walk and replacing them with Zubrus and Visnievski isn’t gonna cut it. They miss the playoffs this year.
5) New York Islanders – Goon Central. Team will hate to play them and fans will hate to watch them. You can’t polish a turd.
NORTHEAST 1) Ottawa Senators – Agreed. This team is poised for another run at the Cup. Ongoing contract issues with pending free agents could be a motivator or a distraction. Goaltending situaiton should be solved after Gerber is dealt soon – his value will never get much higher.
2) Toronto Maple Leafs – I think the Leafs have improved and are poised to be a serious threat this season. They can score with the best of them and adding Blake is a big bonus. Toskala will compensate for McCabe and Kaberle offensive tendencies.
3) Buffalo Sabres – They are going to miss Briere and Drury more than they think. A poor start leads to morale falling. They make the playoffs late.
4) Montreal Canadiens – Not sure what is happening here. Same old, same old. They need a big move and lack the pieces to make it.
5) Boston Bruins – Maybe some baby steps of improvement but they have no blueline to speak of besides Chara. Manny Fernandez sucks, by the way.
SOUTHEAST 1) Washington Capitals – That’s right. I said it. The Caps are the cream of this rancid division. They will benefit from a weak schedule and a solid second year from Semin and Backstrom. Adding Tom Poti and Nylander will push this team over the hump. Kolzig has a big year before he goes UFA.
2) Tampa Bay – No goaltending. That simple enough for you?
3) Florida – This team works hard and has some good young talent. Vokoun can shut down anyone on any night – so they could sneak up on some people. They will hang around the playoffs and crap out at the end.
4) Carolina – Old, old, old. This team is the NHL’s version of the San Francisco Giants. Rumor has them willing to part with Cole – are they high?
5) Atlanta Thrashers – This teams window has come and gone and now they have to blow it up. Hossa is trade bait and will be skating in a different uni by March (maybe in Teal….?)
NORTHWEST
1) Calgary – They will find themselves at the top of the leagues toughest division. Their mix of toughness and goaltending is a tough match up. Only question could be lack of scoring.
2) Colorado – Smyth works his magic in Denver. I think Sakic will be rejuvinated and this team is going to be a giant pain in the ass to play. Don’t forget they also have King Shutdown, Scotty Hannan. I feel like hating the Avs again.
3) Vancouver – Injuries are already killing this team and I just have a hunch it will continue for the rest of the season.
4) Minnesota – I don’t see them taking the “next step” as everyone says. When has Gaborik been healthy for an entire season? Is Backstrom really the real deal? I think this team middles around again and maybe gets a late playoff seed. I’m not buying what Minnesota is selling.
5) Edmonton – Sheldon Souray can blow me. He’ll wish he signed with the Sharks by December.
PACIFIC 1) San Jose Sharks – This is not a homer pick, believe it or not. They are the real deal and are one veteran defensemen away from dominating the West. Nabby’s health is also a minor concern because the net is thin after him…
2) Anahiem Ducks – I don’t even think this is going to be close. The Ducks finish ten points behind the Sharks. They are going to miss Neidermeyer and Selanne big time and Bertuzzi either gets hurt early or sucks often.
3) LA Kings – I don’t think they are going to be as bad as others think. The Kings will be difficult to play and are deep on the blueline. Goaltending is a serious issue but I see them adding Gerber any day now.
4) Dallas – This is the year this team fades away. Like New Jersey, the old guard has to die sometime. Bye Bye Dallas, we hardly knew you.
5) Phoenix – If the Sharks lose one game to Phoenix, I will shoot myself.
CENTRAL 1) Detroit – I want to play in the Central! Rafalski is an improvement over Schneider and they kept their core together. Hasek’s health always a question.
2) St. Louis – I know Mikey likes the Preds and Blackhawks, but I see St. Louis as a bottom playoff team this year. Some dangerous veterans, solid D and a decent goalie could help them prey upon a weak division.
3) Nashville – Depressions set in when this team realizes their best forward is Jason Arnott. They need to deal one of their bluechip defensemen for some scoring help.
4) Chicago – There is finally hope in Chicago that the team has a glimmer of future. Young players will cause some excitement but in the end, the vets they have (Lang, Samsanov) are terrible and won’t provide any leadership to help this club make the push.
5) Columbus – A wispy fart better than Phoenix. This team also has no direction. They have cap room after Foote and Federov leave next year, but no one will come. Barren wasteland.
I am calling a Sharks/Maple Leafs final. Nabby vs. Toskala. Oh the Drama!
2007-8 season predictions. Everydamnblogger out there has ’em, and who am I to challenge my betters? It’s mindless conformity that has made me who I am. And attracted our attractive readers, which I think I can now describe as “several”, rather than “few” (recently upgraded from “both”). Don’t worry, I won’t let it go to my head.
Atlantic 1. Rangers – I drank the Kool-Aid, awright? I don’t think Drury or Gomez will rock the boat too much. And I’m a fan of Jagr, though I forgot why. Their goaltending and D are definitely better than the… 2. Penguins – Young, dumb, and full of… you get the idea. Their PP will be electric, but winning games 6-5 is a risky proposition. 3. Flyers – Ok, they gained some dudes in the offseason, and they have some young guys. But when Derian Hatcher is still one of your best two defensemen, and you have a backup retread as your starting goalie, you’ll be scratching to make the playoffs come January. 4. Devils – with a new coach, and a new system, it’s time for this team to falter. The inevitable falling out between Sutter and Big Bad Lou will leave the team without a compass. I’d say it’s even money that Lou will pull a “Claude Julien” on Sutter before April. 5. Islanders – Ted Nolan is a genius, and it’s ridiculous that he couldn’t get a job after leading the Sabres to the SCF all those years ago. But you can’t polish a turd.
Northeast 1. Senators – Stood pat in the offseason, and it will pay off. Even if Heatley gets all uppity about his contract, this team has too much talent and experience to lose the division. 2. Sabres – I wanted to put this team after the Leafs, but I wussed out. They still have solid goaltending and some talent. I will go out on a limb and say that we will be questioning Vanek’s contract by the end of the year. 3. Maple Leafs – Now with our dearly departed Tosk in net, the Leafs will finally make the playoffs. But if no young guns step it up, it could be a long season of watching Sundin get slower and slower…. eyes…. closing…. 4. Canadiens – Just like the Leafs, without as good goaltending or defense. Or offense. 5. Bruins – Unless Kessel gets cancer again, there will be nothing to talk about for the hapless Bruins. You can send your angry emails to biteme@null.com.
Southeast 1. Lightning – Goaltending is a problem, and Boyle, on whom I have a man-crush, is a bit clumsy, ok?! With Lecavalier, St. Louis, Richards, and several good defensive defensemen, Tampa Bay will again be on top, but only enough for the #3 seed. 2. Capitals – With Semin, AO, and Niclas Backstrom (no, the other one), this team will be dangerous every night. And long-forgotten Vezina winner Olaf Kolzig has still got some gas left in the tank. 3. Thrashers – I’m not sold on Lehtonen. I’m not sold on Kovalchuk, who can light it up, but is a defensive weakling. The only bona-fide they got is Hossa, who will only be looking to pad his stats so he can get the hell out of there. 4. Panthers – I feel bad for Horton, Bouwmeester and Jokinen, but if you can’t win with Luongo, Vokoun is not the answer. 5. Hurricanes – So forgettable I forgot to include them in the first version of this post. ‘Nuff said.
Central 1. Detroit – Stupid Wings. When are you jagoffs gonna screw up?! Can’t a guy get a break?! 2. Predators – Man, I really wanted to put them third, but even though they lost some guys, they still have enough to win some games. I really wanted to push the… 3. Blackhawks – I liked this team even before their owner died. Hooboy, that was even worse than the cancer comment. Seriously though, with young talent and a Cup-winning goalie, and who knows, maybe even the ability to spend at the trade deadline for the first time in 35 years, this team is going places. 4. St. Louis – Odd combination of rickety old guys and not-ready-yet youngsters promises an occasionally-gratifying, yet mostly-frustrating season with plenty-of-dashes. 5. Blue Jackets – Blow it up already. Trade Nash, ditch Foote, and hire a decent scouting department. If they are smart, they’ll pack it in by early December and try to get Tavares.
Northwest 1. Flames – This team proved last year that they can finally score, and this year, will lead them to the division title. If Kipper or Iginla falters or get injured though, watch out. They could fall quickly. 2. Wild – Niklas Backstrom (yes, that one) was my great early pick in fantasy, when some a$hole stole him from me. But I’m not bitter. He’ll contend for the Vezina this year, and with Gaborik healthy, they’ll be able to steal games from the… 3. Canucks – Luongo, while certainly in the Vezina hunt yet again, is not enough. This is the toughest division in hockey, and trotting out 89-year-old Trevor Linden may warm the ol’ cockles of the heart, but is worth precisely squat on the ice. 4. Avalanche – Smyth, great addition. Man, do I wish the Sharks got him. Starting goaltender with no playoff experience and 2.75 lifetime GAA? Backed up by the worst backup (and highest paid) in hockey? Not so much. 5. Oilers – Kevin Lowe is becoming the Matt Millen of hockey. I like to see Canadian teams do well, really I do, but they will need divine intervention this year to get 75 points.
Pacific 1. Sharks – but only if the Ducks don’t get Niedermayer (motto: “Waaah! I want to play with my brother!”) and Selanne back. I still worry about the D, but I think we’ll see Michalek turn into an All-Star this year. 2. Ducks – With no Selanne, Neids, or Penner, they are missing 103 goals from last year. I think they are hoping they can create a currency market where they can convert fighting majors (or ill-conceived mustaches) into scoring opportunities. 3. Stars – Booorrrring. I think I’ve heard this tune before- good D, just enough scoring, great goaltending, then the whole thing falls apart in the playoffs. Just don’t sing it to the tune of SexyBack. 4. Kings – One year away from overtaking the Stars, and making a run of it. Let’s put it this way- Scott Thornton is still on the roster. 5. Coyotes – Holy criminy, the Yotes are bad. The worst team in hockey. If you are a season ticket holder for this team, my hat is off to you. It’s a “My eyes! These goggles do nothing!” situation.
Well, great minds think alike Mikey. I happen to agree with almost all your roster predictions with a few possible exceptions.
I think Torrey Mitchell makes the big club this year. He is this seasons Vlasic story, the kid who came out of nowhere to grab a spot on the big club. Even if he only plays 50 games, Roenick and Brown will both need several nights off, especially on back to backs. He is an impact player, Mark Smith with much more skill and I see him as a staple in Teal for the next few years.
Bernier should be traded. His value is still high now but we currently have no roster spot for him and the Sharks are not in a position to wait and see if a player is going to pan out. Clowe, Pavelski, Setoguchi, Goc and, in my opinion, Torrey Mitchell, have all passed him on the depth chart. He is the odd man out and Doug Wilson could still get some value for him. If we let him sit as a healthy scratch, his value declines and the Sharks leverage declines. He is our best trading piece to get a potential impact veteran D-man to upgrade the #6 spot. I like Murray, but he is a #7 guy in my opinion.
Let me preface this by saying, I’m not a fan of Semenov, as you already know but I think the Sharks go with Semenov and cut ties with Ozolinsh….for now. If Sandis doesn’t catch on with another team, or if he is willing to start the year at Worcester against live competition, he could be in a Sharks uniform sometime this Fall if someone gets hurt.
Here is my opening night roster and projected lines.
A Grudging Congratulations
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