rulururu
Two dudes blogging and podcasting about the San Jose Sharks, straight from sunny California.

post Sharks Own the Kings, and Power Play Stats Fun

January 25th, 2006, 12:21 pm

Filed under: blog — Written by Mike

Sharks won again last night against the Kings, 4-1. The Kings have only won one of the last 11 games versus the Sharks, we OWN ’em. The Sharks scored twice on the power play, which sounds good, but it was out of 11 chances, a 18.2% rate. Interesting notes:

  • Right now the Sharks have the median power play, 16th out of 30 teams, converting at 17.5%.
  • They are still below average, the average power play conversion rate is 17.56%.
  • Don’t like statistics? Too bad.
  • The standard deviation of PP% is 2.71, which means that Detroit (25%) is 2.75 standard deviations above the mean.
  • Chicago has the worst PP% at 12.9%, but are only 1.71 STD below the mean.

What does this all mean (haha)? That’s the Sharks’ power play is decidedly mediocre. And that Detroit’s power play is ‘more good’ than Chicago’s is bad, and that’s saying a lot.

post Mario Lemieux

January 24th, 2006, 6:23 pm

Filed under: blog — Written by Mike

Mario Lemieux announced his retirement today. He had an injury-plagued career for the Pittsburg Penguins, but still managed to tally 690 goals in only 915 NHL games. He won Stanley Cups in 1991 and 1992, and was inducted into the Hockey Hall of Fame in 1997, after his 1st retirement, when he had Hodgkin’s disease.

He was a hell of a deceptive player, possessing huge size and reach, and I can’t recall seeing him ever skate super-hard. Not that that is a dig- he had a mesmerizing flow to his game, and perhaps the best hands of any big man in NHL history.

So the question that Barry Melrose and Darren Pang answered today on Sportscenter is, where does he rank? Is he better than Gretzky?

It ain’t even close. Gretzky is clearly better. He had a longer career, more points, more records, more trophys, more Cups. Gretz had 10 Hart trophies (MVP). Mario had 2. The one argument I heard when Mario retired the first time is that Mario averaged more points per game than Gretzky- 2.00 (1494 points in 745 games), which was unprecedented in the NHL. But Mario at that point did not suffer the inevitable trailoff that players do when they get into their mid 30s. Those stats are 1984 through 1997- 12 seasons. Let’s look at Gretzky’s first 12 seasons in the NHL- 1979 through 1992. That’s 2142 points in 925 games, for a 2.31 points per game average. Still think there’s an argument here? Gretzky had a longer career, and a longer and higher peak.

The real question is where Mario ranks in the annals of the all time greats. To make a baseball analogy, it’s a Sandy Koufax problem. What do you do with a guy who didn’t have longevity, but a short-lived brilliance? In my mind, peak production counts, but so does longevity. There’s also the inevitable stickiness of comparing players in different eras. How do you compare Lemieux with Howe or Richard? Richard had more points. The best thing about sports is arguing about stuff, so here’s my top 5 skaters in order:

  1. Wayne Gretzky. No comparison. I don’t know if there’s every been a player in a major sport that’s been more dominant during his career than Wayne.
  2. Gordie Howe. 25 years in the NHL counts for something, along with being #2 in all time goals. More points, trophies, and Cups than Lemieux. And I don’t count that whole “played in 12 different decades” farce he conducted in the 70’s, 80’s and 90’s.
  3. Bobby Orr. Indisputably the best defensemen of all time, and revolutionized the defensive position. Suprisingly, he played in fewer games than Mario, but still won more Harts, along with 8 straight Norris trophies (best defenseman).
  4. Mario Lemieux. Tough one between him and Orr. Managed to win 2 Hart trophies even though he played in the Gretzky era.
  5. Maurice “The Rocket” Richard. First 50 goal scorer, and in a time where scoring 40 was amazing.

Comments are enabled, so let the flames begin.

post What’s a few months between friends?

January 24th, 2006, 12:22 pm

Filed under: blog — Written by Mike

Ok, so I’ve been terribly derelict in my blogging duties. It’s certainly not attributable to my lack of hockey fandom, as I’ve watched more games this season than any other. Since we are at about the halfway point of the season (Sharks are 3 games past at the time of this writing), let me give my Sharks roundup for the first half:

Offense:
There’s no doubt in my mind that the Thornton trade made the Sharks a helluva lot better, and quickly. The line was until recently Thornton, Cheechoo, and Ekman, and whenever they’ve been on the ice, they’ve pretty well dictated play. Cheechoo has since been moved (demoted?) to the Marleau line, but I think he’ll be back. And while I think that Marleau has the ability to be a first-line center, matching up against the opponents’ best defensive pair rendered him not completely useless, but certainly mediocre. Marleau centering the second line provides the Sharks with maybe the best 1-2 center combination in the league. Although admittedly Alyn McAuley had a career year last year, he seems largely ineffective this year, and would be my biggest offensive disappointment. I didn’t get to see him play much in Toronto, and perhaps he’s just assumed his old form. Mark Smith’s grittiness and good wrist shot has been a nice surprise.

Defense:
Clearly the weakest aspect of the Sharks right now. Tom Preissing, who has the best +/- on the team (+12) is back, but has been out recently with injury. Scott Hannan was near the bottom of the league in +/- for the first quarter of the season, but is now at a more reasonable level (-3). The Sharks miss Mike Rathje more than they thought they would, and trading Brad Stuart didn’t help. The defensive corps is just too inexperienced in my view to lead the Sharks deep in the playoffs, and maybe to the playoffs at all. Ehrhoff, Fahey, Gorges, Murray, and Preissing all have 100 games or less of NHL experience. Davison has only 110 games. Scott Hannan and Kyle McLaren, while probably top-4 defensemen on nearly any NHL team, are not enough.

Special Teams:
The power play was the worst aspect of the Sharks’ game early in the season, and the most positively affected by the Thornton trade. Putting Marleau at the point on the power play has also helped. The Sharks were in the last 3 or 4 teams in the entire NHL for PP% in November, and now they are middle of the pack. The last few games the Sharks have taken too many penalties, which completely cost them one game (Phoenix) and almost another (LA). Giving up 5-on-3 advantages for one minute or more is bad news when your kill is in the bottom half of the league.

Goaltending:
Traditionally one of the Sharks’ biggest strengths, but injuries have hurt. Both Nabokov and Toskala missed quite a big of time, but we got to see Nolan Schaefer step up in late October (5-1, 1.88 GAA). Both Nabby and Toskala have been a little shaky, but they’ve both turned in good quality starts in January. I’m not concerned.

Looking Forward:
The Sharks might make the playoffs with their current roster, but given the quality of the West right now, it’ll be a tough battle. They’ve been bad against division opponents, and continuing this trend will certainly eliminate a lot of hope in January; they play 4 more division games, and 4 in February. Unless they are much better than .500 in those 8 games, they’ll be pretty much out of the playoff picture by the Olympic break. Since Nabby will be an unrestricted free agent next year, and both Schaefer and Dmitri Patzhold are playing well in the minors, look for the Sharks to deal him for a good stay-at-home defensemen in the next month. Names I’ve seen so far are Brendan Witt, Martin Skoula, and Eric Weinrich. Since Skoula is on the Stars now, and Turco is playing so well, I’m pretty sure that won’t happen. Doug Wilson will not make the “Kipper to Calgary for a bag of pucks” mistake again. I’m hoping the Sharks don’t trade a quality goalie like Nabokov for a solid defenseman in the twilight of his career, like Brian Leetch or Sergei Gonchar.

post Sharks Lose Opener 3-2 to Nashville

October 6th, 2005, 9:31 am

Filed under: blog — Written by Mike

I was pretty surprised, Nashville has got some jump in ’em. The Kariya-Erat-Legwand thing was going pretty good. Turns out DirecTV doesn’t have Fox Sports as part of the package, so I frantically ran around trying to figure out if I should get Center Ice, or just the Sports package, and then if I can even get the Sharks games without the Sports package if I have Center Ice, blah blah blah. So I didn’t get to TiVo the game until the second period. I formed my own opinion during the game, but this article in the Mercury sums it up pretty well.

  • The power play sucked (0 for 6). They have some of the fastest players in the NHL, and the Sharks were doing the ol’ dump-and-chase for many of their power plays. I have no idea why.
  • They didn’t tighten up too well in the third. They had a 2-1 lead, and ended up losing. Bad times.

Hard to see the Sharks lose like that on the first game of the season. Next two games are at Chicago and at St. Louis, and I hope the Sharks come back for the home opener 2-1. Both of those teams are very beatable- neither should make the playoffs.

post Pumped? Hell Yes!

October 5th, 2005, 9:34 am

Filed under: blog — Written by Mike

Today’s games:

Montreal at Boston
NY Islanders at Buffalo
NY Rangers at Philadelphia
Columbus at Washington
Atlanta at Florida
St. Louis at Detroit
Pittsburgh at New Jersey
Carolina at Tampa Bay
Ottawa at Toronto
San Jose at Nashville
Anaheim at Chicago
Los Angeles at Dallas
Calgary at Minnesota
Colorado at Edmonton
Phoenix at Vancouver

I’m pumped for the season. I’ve read the previews in Hockey News, on ESPN.com, and in ESPN the Magazine (which I’ll vent about later), I’ve drafted my fantasy team, I’ve pored over the Sharks website for news and information. Maybe this will be the least-watched, least-cared-about, and most-ridiculed hockey season ever. But I don’t care. I’m a hockey fan, dammit, and I’m going to feed my puck habit any way I can.

post Hockey Night

October 4th, 2005, 1:51 pm

Filed under: blog — Written by Mike

ESPN.com – NHL Index: “ESPNEWS is your one-stop location for NHL coverage this season, starting Thursday with Hockey Night. Get in-progress and postgame highlights along with Mr. Mullet himself, Barry Melrose.”
NHL Tonight may be gone, and ESPN may not be televising games any more, but perhaps this is a palatable substitute.

post Fantasy Fantastic

October 4th, 2005, 1:27 pm

Filed under: blog — Written by Mike

I love fantasy hockey. It’s a great excuse to follow a whole bunch of players you’ve either know only peripherally, or never heard of at all. In my case, I’ve been following the NHL long enough to recognize most names, but every now and again I’m surprised by a good performer I’ve never heard of. Either way, you (well, I) end up spending way too much time debating the relative worth of Daniel Sedin vs. Craig Conroy vs. John Madden. Great time sink! We had our fantasy draft last night at my place, and here’s my draft in order:

  1. Marcus Naslund
  2. Tomas Vokoun
  3. Pavel Datsyuk
  4. Rick Nash
  5. John Grahame
  6. Martin Havlat
  7. Wade Redden
  8. Mike Modano
  9. Richard Zednik
  10. Mathieu Schneider
  11. Matt Barnaby
  12. Gary Roberts
  13. Mattias Ohlund
  14. Adam Foote
  15. Chris Simon
  16. Jay Bouwmeester

An ok draft, I guess. I’m happy with getting Modano and Foote when I did. Today I dropped Chris Simon and picked up Ty Conklin, because I needed another goalie. So now I have vested interest in a number of teams I would normally ignore- Montreal, Florida, Columbus, and Tampa Bay. And I drafted no Sharks! Marco Sturm is available on waivers though, might be a good pickup…

post The lull before the… um… bigger lull

August 12th, 2005, 10:32 am

Filed under: blog — Written by Mike

Not much going on in the NHL the past few days. A couple of big signings- Eric Lindros to the Leafs and Joe Thornton resigned with the Bruins for 3 years. The Sharks? The only news in the past week really is that they resigned Tom Preissing and Wayne Primeau for two years each. Not exactly a blockbuster. I’d bet 90% or more of hardcore hockey fans couldn’t identify either player if they ran into them on the street, and they were wearing shirts that said “Hi, My Name is Tom Preissing/Wayne Primeau”.

So what do we do now? Wait for training camp I guess.

post Sharks Preseason Schedule Released

August 9th, 2005, 3:28 pm

Filed under: blog — Written by Mike
  1. 9/18 – Los Angeles at San Jose, 5 p.m.
  2. 9/21 – San Jose at Anaheim, 7:30 p.m.
  3. 9/23 – San Jose at Vancouver, 7 p.m.
  4. 9/25 – Anaheim at San Jose, 5 p.m.
  5. 9/27 – San Jose at Los Angeles, 7:30 p.m.
  6. 9/28 – San Jose at Phoenix, 7 p.m.
  7. 9/30 – Phoenix at San Jose, 7:30 p.m.

All times PDT. That’s 40 days, 1 hour, 20 minutes and counting…

post Yes, I am that desperate

August 5th, 2005, 9:20 am

Filed under: blog — Written by Mike

I’m so desperate for Sharks and NHL news that I’ve taken to combing ESPN and Hockey News articles looking for any mention of the Sharks. Please tell me Doug Wilson is actually trying to earn his paycheck! Latest news? Paul Kariya is talking to the Oilers, but the Sharks are talking to him too. The article says Kariya is in touch with the Kings as well. I think the Oilers and Kings should be disqualified because they’ve already signed so many free agents. If that makes me sound like I’m bitter, it’s because I am.

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